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INSEAD Global Economy Blog

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Antonio Fatas  Ilian Mihov

Antonio Fatas and Ilian Mihov are professors of economics at INSEAD, an international business school with cam [Read More]

Categories: Business | Economics | Finance/Investing | International Business

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Latest Posts:

The stock market looks cheap
How expensive is the US stock market? Have the strong gains since the financial crisis of 2008 built yet another massive bubble that will require a correction? Some investors fear that recent stock market record levels are a sign that this is the big...
INSEAD Global Economy Blog
Monday, October 17, 2016

You can lower interest rates but can you raise inflation?
Last week the Bank of England lowered their interest rates. This combined with previous moves by the ECB and the Bank of Japan and the reduced probability that the US Federal Reserve will increase rates soon is a reminder that any normalization of in...
INSEAD Global Economy Blog
Tuesday, August 9, 2016

Experts, facts and media
Jean Pisani-Ferry has written a very interesting post about the need for trusted experts in a democracy. The post addresses the criticisms that economic experts have received as a result of the Brexit vote. Quoting from his post:"Representative democ...
INSEAD Global Economy Blog
Wednesday, August 3, 2016

9, 8, 7, 6.7,... Speculating on China growth
The deceleration of China's GDP growth rate has been seen both as a natural transition towards more sustainable growth rates and a sign that the Chinese model of growth is coming to an end. How does this deceleration of growth rates compared to simil...
INSEAD Global Economy Blog
Wednesday, June 8, 2016

The asymmetry of inflation or the ECB?
From this Financial Times article: In yesterday's press conference Mario Draghi was asked about the possibility of changing the ECB's inflation target. His answer is very revealing about the extreme asymmetric nature of monetary policy these days (or...
INSEAD Global Economy Blog
Thursday, June 2, 2016

How informative is the slope of the Yield Curve?
The yield curve is becoming flatter. The difference between the 10-year and 2-year government bond is now approaching 1%. The yield curve tends to get flatter when the economy reaches the end of an expansion phase and it is many times seen as a predi...
INSEAD Global Economy Blog
Tuesday, May 31, 2016

World growth: mediocre or pathetic?
The recent disappointing performance of the world economy has been labelled as the "new mediocre" by Christine Lagarde, the "new reality" by Olivier Blanchard and the "new normal" by many others.How mediocre is global growth? The an...
INSEAD Global Economy Blog
Wednesday, May 4, 2016

Central Banks need to get real (not nominal)
While the ECB and Bank of Japan are exploring negative interest rates, the US Federal Reserve is preparing us for a slow and cautious increase in short-term interest rates. Long-term rates remain at very low levels and inflation expectations have com...
INSEAD Global Economy Blog
Tuesday, March 29, 2016

ECB: I cannot do whatever it takes
The ECB just announced a further reduction in interest rates, extended its QE program by increasing the rate at which buys assets, beefed up the TLTRO program and extended its horizon. It all sounds like good news and many of these actions had been e...
INSEAD Global Economy Blog
Thursday, March 10, 2016

A 2016 recession would be different
If the US or the Eurozone entered a recession this year, a few macroeconomic variables would look very different relative to previous recessions.1. The Yield curve would be very steep. Unlike in any previous recession when the yield curve was flat or...
INSEAD Global Economy Blog
Thursday, February 4, 2016

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