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INSEAD Global Economy Blog

Visit Site - http://fatasmihov.blogspot.com/

Antonio Fatas  Ilian Mihov

Antonio Fatas and Ilian Mihov are professors of economics at INSEAD, an international business school with cam [Read More]

Categories: Business | Economics | Finance/Investing | International Business


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Latest Posts:

9, 8, 7, 6.7,... Speculating on China growth
The deceleration of China's GDP growth rate has been seen both as a natural transition towards more sustainable growth rates and a sign that the Chinese model of growth is coming to an end. How does this deceleration of growth rates compared to simil...
INSEAD Global Economy Blog
Wednesday, June 8, 2016


The asymmetry of inflation or the ECB?
From this Financial Times article: In yesterday's press conference Mario Draghi was asked about the possibility of changing the ECB's inflation target. His answer is very revealing about the extreme asymmetric nature of monetary policy these days (or...
INSEAD Global Economy Blog
Thursday, June 2, 2016


How informative is the slope of the Yield Curve?
The yield curve is becoming flatter. The difference between the 10-year and 2-year government bond is now approaching 1%. The yield curve tends to get flatter when the economy reaches the end of an expansion phase and it is many times seen as a predi...
INSEAD Global Economy Blog
Tuesday, May 31, 2016


World growth: mediocre or pathetic?
The recent disappointing performance of the world economy has been labelled as the "new mediocre" by Christine Lagarde, the "new reality" by Olivier Blanchard and the "new normal" by many others.How mediocre is global growth? The an...
INSEAD Global Economy Blog
Wednesday, May 4, 2016


Central Banks need to get real (not nominal)
While the ECB and Bank of Japan are exploring negative interest rates, the US Federal Reserve is preparing us for a slow and cautious increase in short-term interest rates. Long-term rates remain at very low levels and inflation expectations have com...
INSEAD Global Economy Blog
Tuesday, March 29, 2016


ECB: I cannot do whatever it takes
The ECB just announced a further reduction in interest rates, extended its QE program by increasing the rate at which buys assets, beefed up the TLTRO program and extended its horizon. It all sounds like good news and many of these actions had been e...
INSEAD Global Economy Blog
Thursday, March 10, 2016


A 2016 recession would be different
If the US or the Eurozone entered a recession this year, a few macroeconomic variables would look very different relative to previous recessions.1. The Yield curve would be very steep. Unlike in any previous recession when the yield curve was flat or...
INSEAD Global Economy Blog
Thursday, February 4, 2016


BIS redefines inflation (again)
An interview with Hyun Song Shin, economic adviser and head of research at the BIS, reposted in the BIS web site reminds us of the strange and heterodox views that the BIS (and others) have about the behavior of inflation. The views run cont...
INSEAD Global Economy Blog
Sunday, January 10, 2016


Counting backwards to the next recession
In most advanced economies business cycles can be well characterized by a succession of long expansion phases that are interrupted by short recessions. Given this pattern it is sometimes natural to think about the length of expansions as a key featur...
INSEAD Global Economy Blog
Monday, November 23, 2015


The missing lowflation revolution
It will soon be eight years since the US Federal Reserve decided to bring its interest rate down to 0%. Other central banks have spent similar number of years (or much longer in the case of Japan) stuck at the zero lower bound. In these eight years c...
INSEAD Global Economy Blog
Thursday, October 29, 2015



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