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MacroBlog

Visit Site - http://www.macroblog.typepad.com/

Dave  Altig

David Altig, a professor at the University of Chicago, needed a way to help his students learn about monetary  [Read More]

Categories: Finance/Investing


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Latest Posts:

GDPNow's Forecast: Why Did It Spike Recently?
If you felt whipsawed by GDPNow recently, it's understandable. On February 1, the Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model estimate of first-quarter real gross domestic product (GDP) growth surged from 4.2 percent to 5.4 percent (annualized rates) after a manufact...
MacroBlog
Tuesday, February 13, 2018


How Low Is the Unemployment Rate, Really?
In 2017, the unemployment rate averaged 4.4 percent. That's quite low on a historical basis. In fact, it's the lowest level since 2000, when unemployment averaged 4.0 percent. But does that mean that the labor market is only 0.4 percentage......
MacroBlog
Thursday, January 18, 2018


What Businesses Said about Tax Reform
Many folks are wondering what impact the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act—which was introduced in the House on November 2, 2017, and signed into law a few days before Christmas—will have on the U.S. economy. Well, in a recent speech,......
MacroBlog
Wednesday, January 17, 2018


Financial Regulation: Fit for New Technologies?
In a recent interview , the computer scientist Andrew Ng said, "Just as electricity transformed almost everything 100 years ago, today I actually have a hard time thinking of an industry that I don't think AI [artificial intelligence] will transform....
MacroBlog
Thursday, January 4, 2018


Is Macroprudential Supervision Ready for the Future?
Virtually everyone agrees that systemic financial crises are bad not only for the financial system but even more importantly for the real economy. Where the disagreements arise is how best to reduce the risk and costliness of future crises. One......
MacroBlog
Wednesday, January 3, 2018


Labor Supply Constraints and Health Problems in Rural America
A recent research study by Alison Weinberg at the Federal Reserve's Board of Governors found that wages for relatively low-skilled workers in nonmetropolitan areas of the country have been growing more rapidly than those in metropolitan areas. In a t...
MacroBlog
Wednesday, November 15, 2017


Building a Better Model: Introducing Changes to GDPNow
Among the frequently asked questions on GDPNow's web page is this one: Is any judgment used to adjust the forecasts? Our answer: No. Once the GDPNow model begins forecasting GDP growth for a particular quarter, the code will not be......
MacroBlog
Monday, November 6, 2017


How Ill a Wind? Hurricanes' Impacts on Employment and Earnings
According to the Current Employment Statistics payroll survey, seasonally adjusted nonfarm payroll employment declined 33,000 in September. This decline was the first drop in employment since 2010 and followed a 169,000 gain in August. At the same ti...
MacroBlog
Thursday, October 19, 2017


When Health Insurance and Its Financial Cushion Disappear
Personal health care costs can skyrocket with a new diagnosis or accident, often leading to catastrophic financial costs for people. Health insurance plays an important role in protecting individuals from unexpected large financial shocks as a result...
MacroBlog
Friday, September 8, 2017


What Is the "Right" Policy Rate?
What is the right monetary policy rate? The Cleveland Fed, via Michael Derby in the Wall Street Journal, provides one answer—or rather, one set of answers: The various flavors of monetary policy rules now out there offer formulas that suggest......
MacroBlog
Thursday, September 7, 2017



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