Topic: RobocarsTags: forbes13 years ago, at the Wired 2013 event in London, I was asked when robotaxis would arrive there and as a joke, gave an answer of June 22, 2026 that turned out to be impossibly spot on. (3 companies are waiting on regulators to deploy right now.) It wasn't just a joke, though, it was based on my real predictions of the time, so as we approach the date I predicted, I've made a video to review just how predictions about self-driving by all sorts of people (especially including Elon Musk) have been right and wrong over the years, and why.
Why did so many get it so wrong? How did I get it almost dead on? Enjoy the video, or a text version which is up on the Forbes site.
Plus, here's the original talk from 2013, with the prediction near the end:
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