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May 27, 2022
Other EU countries that are more reliant on imports have opened ruble accounts.
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May 27, 2022
With global oil markets undersupplied, Canadian oil producers stand to benefit.
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May 27, 2022
Moody's rating downgrades outstripped upgrades 6-to-3 recently.
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May 27, 2022
The Moody's Analytics Broad Based Startup Rate investigates the drivers of business creation.
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May 26, 2022
Claims would have to increase a lot to raise a red flag about the state of the economy.
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May 25, 2022
The Fed likely will hike aggressively over the next few meetings, and then take a breather.
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May 25, 2022
Performance gaps across regions will likely persist in some fashion.
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May 25, 2022
The U.S. data have been coming in weaker than expected as the economy cools.
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May 25, 2022
A pullback in consumer demand due to rising costs would result in an oversupply of some goods.
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May 24, 2022
U.S. new-home sales came in soft, though the data should be taken with a grain of salt.
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May 24, 2022
Markets are slowly dialing back their expectations for Fed tightening.
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May 24, 2022
Something happened in April that has never happened before.
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May 24, 2022
Retail sales and industrial production performed well last month, but the outlook for each is mixed.
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May 24, 2022
Energy prices eased temporarily in April but have since risen.
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May 24, 2022
It will take the supply side of the economy months if not years to adjust to the new global energy landscape.
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May 24, 2022
Accelerating inflation and a policy misstep would be near-term obstacles.
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May 23, 2022
New-home sales likely declined in April, while jobless claims rise.
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May 23, 2022
We expect home sales fell in April as rates rose.
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May 23, 2022
We take a world tour of the measures and effects of economic downturns.
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May 23, 2022
The labor market in the emerging world remains an open wound.
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May 23, 2022
The sustained pace of payroll gains brings employment within 1.2 million of its pre-pandemic level.
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May 20, 2022
Since 1929, there have been 26 bear markets; only 15 coincided with a U.S. economic recession.
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May 20, 2022
Why aren't rising wages motivating more young Canadians to join the labor force?
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May 20, 2022
The return remains incomplete, according to revised data.
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May 20, 2022
Some of the recent deterioration in sentiment could be a knee-jerk reaction to what has occurred in financial markets.
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May 20, 2022
Stock markets traditionally bottom when the Fed comes to the rescue, but that may not happen soon.
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May 20, 2022
Although some negotiations will occur, it's unlikely that the two countries will not be admitted.
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May 19, 2022
Growth shows signs of moderating, but it will not tank.
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May 19, 2022
Spreads continue to widen while defaults are higher than this time last year.
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May 19, 2022
Differences are due to divergent responses to quits and job openings.
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May 18, 2022
U.S. housing starts decline with a record number of single-family homes under construction.
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May 18, 2022
Historically, assets performed significantly worse during periods of positive inflation surprises.
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May 18, 2022
Our index shows pressure growing because of China's zero-COVID policy and geopolitics in Eastern Europe.
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May 18, 2022
Seasonally adjusted inflation in the Northeast was the nation's highest last month, the first time this has happened since June.
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May 17, 2022
U.S. retail sales increased in April, boosting our tracking estimate of second-quarter GDP.
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May 17, 2022
Prolonged monetary expansion helped fuel inflation.
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May 17, 2022
March's CPI report offered a few bright spots, but risks to the outlook still loom.
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May 17, 2022
Debt burdens will rise but with a lag, since most existing debt is fixed-rate.
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May 16, 2022
Empire State manufacturers are looking wobbly, while U.S. vehicle affordability deteriorates.
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May 16, 2022
Is this the price of avoiding a depression?
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May 16, 2022
Housing starts and permits likely declined in April.
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May 16, 2022
Consumer spending isn't likely to backtrack in the near term.
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May 16, 2022
Risks are uncomfortably high and rising as the Federal Reserve hikes interest rates to slow growth and quell inflation; a few indicators are worth watching to gauge whether we are headed for a downturn.
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May 13, 2022
It still won't keep the Fed from raising up rates in June.
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May 13, 2022
The plan's aim is to end Russian fuel imports by 2027.
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May 13, 2022
The latest Farm Credit Canada report highlights accelerated farmland price appreciation.
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May 13, 2022
Bond market volatility continues to climb rapidly and the Fed hasn't started QT yet.
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May 13, 2022
Global GDP growth has been downwardly revised for 2022.
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May 12, 2022
Initial claims increased but the job market is really tight.
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May 12, 2022
As spreads widen, issuance has softened.
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May 12, 2022
The vast majority of policymakers around the world are expected to hike rates sharply.
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May 12, 2022
Inflation may have peaked, but this comes as little relief for consumers.
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May 11, 2022
Energy takes the edge off headline inflation but core prices came in hot.
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May 11, 2022
As late-cycle dynamics take hold, the Sun Belt and South flash some warning signs.
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May 10, 2022
The hit to growth this year is small, but tighter financial market conditions are a bigger issue.
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May 10, 2022
Higher rates and the significant deterioration in housing affordability will reduce the number of potential new buyers.
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May 10, 2022
The economic impact of Shanghai's lockdown is extreme.
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May 10, 2022
We have revised variables within our forecast model of the FHFA index.
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May 10, 2022
Russia will look east but can't replace European customers.
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May 09, 2022
Tighter financial market conditions are needed to slow the economy, but things could get dicey.
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May 09, 2022
It will be another mixed report as headline inflation moderates and core accelerates.
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May 09, 2022
Inflation is this week's economic focus.
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May 09, 2022
There is a pool of available workers that eliminates the imbalance between supply and demand.
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May 09, 2022
Credit usage is normalizing at the same time.
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May 09, 2022
The Fed accelerated its interest-rate increases amid a tight labor market.
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May 06, 2022
It doesn't warrant a significant forecast change nor will it prevent the Fed's aggressive hiking.
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May 06, 2022
Rising interest rates push concerns about overbuilding to the forefront.
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May 06, 2022
Record U.S. job openings could prove a critical buffer as the central bank attempts to pull off a soft landing for the economy.
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May 06, 2022
April's gain in payroll employment is closer to reality than the drop in household employment.
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May 06, 2022
Volatility is climbing as there were some notable moves in equity returns this week.
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May 06, 2022
The sanctions would phase out crude oil in six months and refined oil by year's end.
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May 06, 2022
Food prices will soon pass the peak, but emerging economies face additional strain.
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May 05, 2022
U.S. corporate profit margins could start to come under pressure.
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May 05, 2022
Green, social and sustainability debt was the weakest since August.
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May 05, 2022
One word will describe this report—quirks.
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May 04, 2022
No surprises as Fed hikes by 50 basis points and announces balance sheet runoff.
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May 04, 2022
Our initial tracking estimate has GDP rising 2.2% at an annualized rate.
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May 04, 2022
The Federal Reserve's hawkish posture is warranted but carries added costs for some U.S. regions.
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May 04, 2022
Oil and gas prices have been elevated and volatile throughout the spring, a script that will hold over the next few weeks.
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May 03, 2022
It is sizable, but not as large as it may first appear.
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May 03, 2022
We find reasons that the Fed can pull off a soft landing.
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May 03, 2022
The Fed likely paid more attention to continued strength in the ECI, rather than the drop in GDP.
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May 02, 2022
Along with raising the target range for the fed funds rate the Fed will announce the reduction in the size of its balance sheet.
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May 02, 2022
ISM manufacturing index unexpectedly dropped again and the details were generally weak.
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May 02, 2022
Fed will hike by 50 basis points and start cutting its balance sheet.
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May 02, 2022
Nouriel Roubini explains why the U.S. economy is on a knife edge between soft- and hard-landing scenarios.
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Apr 29, 2022
It has to raise rates by 50 basis points next week since wage growth is accelerating.
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Apr 29, 2022
An aging population will increase retirements in the next decade and affect labor supply.
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Apr 29, 2022
The increase in the ECI has been stronger than our calculation using the wage growth Phillips curve.
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Apr 29, 2022
Real spending by the Pentagon weighed on GDP growth more than expected due in large part to surging fuel costs.
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Apr 29, 2022
Some countries refuse to pay in the Russian-demanded currency.
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Apr 29, 2022
The 2022 cost-of-living adjustment falls short of inflation by $173 per month for retirees.
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Apr 28, 2022
Net exports and inventories were enormous weights. The Fed's on track for a 50-basis point hike.
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Apr 28, 2022
Net exports and inventories were enormous weights. The Fed's on track for a 50-basis point hike.
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Apr 28, 2022
High-yield issuance has perked up a little.
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Apr 28, 2022
The economy contracted 1.4% on an annualized basis, according to the BEA's preliminary estimate.
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Apr 28, 2022
CPI data show the importance of demographics and housing costs.
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Apr 27, 2022
Inventories and trade will take a heavy toll on first-quarter GDP.
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Apr 27, 2022
Not seasonally adjusted price growth cooled through the first quarter.
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Apr 26, 2022
Consumer confidence and new-home sales decline but durable goods rise.
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