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Nov 23, 2020
Vaccinations against COVID-19 in the U.S. are likely to begin in earnest prior to Inauguration Day.
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Nov 23, 2020
Once markets are convinced that COVID-19 has been defeated, indexes will set record highs.
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Nov 23, 2020
We expect third-quarter GDP to be revised higher in the government's second estimate.
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Nov 23, 2020
Bright spots remain, but rising infections and persistent labor market turmoil do not bode well.
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Nov 23, 2020
The increase in U.S. retail sales in October was the weakest this recovery.
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Nov 22, 2020
If corporate and municipal borrowing costs again soar, the backstop credit facilities will probably be restored immediately.
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Nov 20, 2020
As case counts reach new record highs on a near-daily basis, cracks emerge in the economic recovery.
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Nov 20, 2020
The "dark winter" experts warned of is about to take a major toll on regions' tenuous recoveries.
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Nov 20, 2020
Not all provinces and metro areas have been quite so bulletproof.
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Nov 20, 2020
Some emergency credit facilities will not be extended.
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Nov 20, 2020
Questions include the implications of a divided Congress and the importance of new stimulus.
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Nov 20, 2020
The second wave of infections warrants more support for businesses.
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Nov 19, 2020
U.S. real GDP growth of between 4% and 5% next year seems possible.
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Nov 19, 2020
Millions of struggling Americans risk losing jobless benefits after December 31.
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Nov 19, 2020
A number of U.S. support measures, including some jobless benefits, are set to expire December 31.
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Nov 19, 2020
The pandemic causes lines to be crossed, both literally and figuratively.
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Nov 19, 2020
The crisis will have more implications for what people buy than how much.
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Nov 18, 2020
The market value of U.S. common stock dropped by 1.02%.
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Nov 18, 2020
As of now, 13 million are on unemployment programs set to expire but not all will lose them.
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Nov 18, 2020
A new index captures components to gauge the American consumer's ability to purchase a new car, truck or SUV.
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Nov 18, 2020
We now expect a weaker rebound through early 2021.
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Nov 17, 2020
The Russell 2000, Dow Jones Transports, and Value Line Geometric were up.
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Nov 17, 2020
The increase in retail sales in October was the weakest of this recovery.
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Nov 17, 2020
The federal government is expected to remain on the sidelines.
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Nov 17, 2020
The third quarter had stronger growth, but the final three months aren't booming.
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Nov 17, 2020
U.S. retail sales rose 0.3% in October, the weakest this recovery.
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Nov 16, 2020
The market value of U.S. common stock advanced by 1.24% to a record high.
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Nov 16, 2020
COVID-19 cases spiked in Canada after the holiday, and the U.S. could be next.
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Nov 16, 2020
The U.S. recovery is entering the new COVID-19 surge in a fragile state.
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Nov 16, 2020
Housing data should be solid.
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Nov 16, 2020
Our 2020 presidential election models were accurate, with only a couple of blind spots.
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Nov 16, 2020
Our 2020 presidential election models were accurate, with only a couple of blind spots.
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Nov 13, 2020
There's around $1.45 trillion in excess savings in U.S. accounts.
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Nov 13, 2020
Despite the rapid rise in COVID-19 cases, fresh shutdowns will be confined to state and local hotspots.
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Nov 13, 2020
Oregon announced a state "freeze" while rising cases are hurting consumer confidence.
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Nov 13, 2020
Odds for another pandemic relief bill getting passed in the lame-duck session are about as low as they've ever been.
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Nov 13, 2020
With a high probability of a divided government, pandemic aid soon is unlikely.
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Nov 13, 2020
Next week will include a number of economic releases.
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Nov 13, 2020
The government also extended pay holidays on mortgages and other consumer credit instruments.
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Nov 13, 2020
Colder weather and a drastic increase in new COVID-19 infections weakened real-time metrics.
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Nov 12, 2020
Business prospects have suddenly worsened in light of more coronavirus cases.
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Nov 12, 2020
Continuing claims are declining as individuals lose their eligibility.
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Nov 12, 2020
Tuition declines combine with easing fuel inflation to temper CPI growth.
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Nov 12, 2020
Questions ranged from job security across sectors to mounting debt problems.
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Nov 12, 2020
Big changes in policy are dead ahead.
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Nov 11, 2020
After hitting a record-high 368 downgrades in the second quarter, it fell to 29 in the third.
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Nov 11, 2020
We don't find any evidence of political bias in two key measures of sentiment.
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Nov 11, 2020
We look at the impact in the U.S. on small-business closures and plans to start new businesses.
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Nov 10, 2020
The Bloomberg/Barclays speculative-grade bond yield fell by 45 basis points.
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Nov 10, 2020
The more things changed, the more they stayed the same.
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Nov 10, 2020
Confirmed U.S. cases could continue to climb, and there won't be any fiscal stimulus to offset the impact.
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Nov 10, 2020
The economy is regaining lost jobs, but rising coronavirus cases threaten to derail the recovery.
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Nov 09, 2020
The biggest winners were those most adversely affected by COVID-19.
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Nov 09, 2020
Election results and progress on a vaccine occurred but they don't warrant changes to the forecast.
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Nov 09, 2020
Stock investors appear cheered by the prospects for a divided government.
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Nov 08, 2020
Having a clear political path forward will go a long way to shore up frayed psyches and the struggling economy.
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Nov 07, 2020
Fiscal actions will factor into the timing of the first rate hike.
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Nov 06, 2020
If it holds, the market value of U.S. common stock will set a record high by year's end.
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Nov 06, 2020
Unemployment rate continues to drop more quickly than anticipated, reducing odds of stimulus soon.
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Nov 06, 2020
The pandemic's divergent impact across industries is solidifying.
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Nov 06, 2020
The Bank of England expanded its quantitative easing by £150 billion at its November meeting.
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Nov 06, 2020
We have nudged up our tracking estimate of Q3 GDP to 31.3%.
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Nov 06, 2020
The outcome has enormous implications for the nation's economic prospects.
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Nov 06, 2020
Preliminary estimate is for fourth-quarter GDP to rise 2.3% at an annualized rate.
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Nov 05, 2020
The index fell by another 20 bps to 363 on Thursday.
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Nov 05, 2020
It's possible that we may not know the makeup of the Senate until January.
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Nov 05, 2020
We look for a 375,000 increase as the labor market's recovery slows.
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Nov 05, 2020
Structural factors and virus prevalence are now negatively correlated.
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Nov 04, 2020
Extreme changes in tax and regulations is highly unlikely.
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Nov 04, 2020
The election is a nail-bitter, but there is no need to alter our baseline forecast.
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Nov 04, 2020
Tuesday's results so far favor a narrow Biden victory and a divided Congress.
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Nov 02, 2020
China's Shanghai Composite has outperformed U.S. equities since the end of 2019.
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Nov 02, 2020
The meeting this week will be a snoozer.
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Nov 02, 2020
Former Vice President Biden will win the White House, with Pennsylvania as the decider.
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Nov 02, 2020
Roughly 75% of the U.S. GDP decline in the second quarter was reversed.
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Nov 02, 2020
Roughly 75% of the U.S. GDP decline in the second quarter was reversed.
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Nov 02, 2020
The key data released this week will take a backseat to the U.S. presidential election.
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Nov 02, 2020
The market continues to deteriorate due to the negative effects of COVID-19 and is quickly approaching a breaking point.
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Nov 02, 2020
How COVID-19 is shaping American household behavior.
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Oct 30, 2020
Third-quarter GDP jumped, but finances of those in the bottom half of the income distribution have been hit especially hard.
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Oct 30, 2020
But fading fiscal stimulus and rising COVID-19 cases will likely hurt consumption this quarter.
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Oct 30, 2020
The central bank announced a recalibration of the quantitative easing program.
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Oct 30, 2020
Questions ranged from the effect of the pandemic to a new Supreme Court justice on Tuesday's vote.
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Oct 30, 2020
Prepayments are behind drops in the Fed's balance sheet at the end of the past few months.
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Oct 30, 2020
Hopes for a pre-election stimulus deal between congressional Democrats and the White House have dissipated.
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Oct 30, 2020
As the pandemic worsens, the U.S. braces for the election.
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Oct 30, 2020
Given the resurgence of COVID-19 on the Continent, new stimulus measures are on the horizon.
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Oct 29, 2020
The 10-year Treasury yield has barely budged from last Friday's close.
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Oct 29, 2020
The 10-year Treasury yield has barely budged from last Friday's close.
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Oct 29, 2020
Apple's high frequency data prove useful but not perfect for showing changes in U.S. driving.
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Oct 29, 2020
U.S. GDP jumps in the third quarter, but there remains a sizable output gap.
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Oct 29, 2020
Delayed results could increase uncertainty and weigh on financial markets.
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Oct 29, 2020
Reopening the economy and fiscal stimulus juiced Q3 U.S. GDP.
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Oct 29, 2020
In-person turnout may be affected as disease overtakes GOP strongholds in battleground states.
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Oct 29, 2020
Shifts in spending, income and lending standards have changed borrowing patterns substantially.
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Oct 29, 2020
Half of the jobs lost to the pandemic shutdowns have come back, with low-wage industries still hardest hit.
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Oct 28, 2020
Despite the equity plunge, Treasuries didn't budge from their previous yield.
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Oct 28, 2020
We look for U.S. GDP growth of 3.59% in the second quarter, but this still isn't a V-shape recovery.
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Oct 28, 2020
U.S. households with children at home experienced sharper job and income losses than those with children not living at home.
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Oct 27, 2020
Uncertainty about the outcome of next week's elections causes markets to fret.
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