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Yahoo BusinessApr 08, 2020
Global Oil Cuts Seen Falling Short and Crashing Prices, ING Says
(Bloomberg) -- Oil is set to tumble back toward $20 a barrel as global producers will likely fall short of targeted cuts this week, leaving a supply overhang that will threaten to overwhelm global storage, according to ING Groep NV.Oil giants including Saudi Arabia and Russia are likely only going to be able to cobble together a global agreement to curb 6 million to 7 million barrels a day of supplies, said Warren Patterson, ING's head of commodities strategy. That's more than triple what OPEC was cutting at the start of this year but is short of the 10 million barrels a day or more that U.S. President Donald Trump proposed last week.It's also well shy of the loss in demand of about 15 million barrels a day in the second quarter caused by government lockdowns to stop the spread of the virus, Patterson said. Brent crude, which has already plunged 50% this year, will crater further as storage is maxed out."I've been looking at commodity markets now for a little over 10 years and I've never seen anything like this," said Singapore-based Patterson in a telephone interview. "The scale of demand destruction that we've seen in the market is just shocking."ING, the Amsterdam-based bank that finances commodities across the value chain, sees Brent crude averaging $20 a barrel in the second quarter before rebounding to $45 in the fourth quarter. Futures traded at $33.34 on Thursday.Patterson doesn't think the U.S. will be given a direct mandate to cut a specific volume because of its antitrust laws, but the cou
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