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The 196 Black Friday deals you can still get The VergeBlack Friday 2025 deals are live from Hoka, Apple and Dyson: Our top picks at every price from this year's biggest sale YahooThe Top 24 Remaining Black Friday Deals You Absolutely Have to Grab, According to CNET Readers CNETYou can still shop the 141 best Black Friday deals, vetted by our experts CNN
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175 Black Friday Deals That Are Still Live, Vetted by Deals Experts Business InsiderBlack Friday 2025 deals are live from Hoka, Apple and Dyson: Our top picks at every price from this year's biggest sale YahooBlack Friday Deals Are Here! Shop our Favorite Finds Now Vogue115 Black Friday 2025 Deals Worth Shopping Right Now From Amazon, Skims, Le Creuset and More TODAY.com
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Black Friday deals are still going strong on Apple AirTags, iPads, and more The Verge30 Great Apple Black Friday Deals Still Live: iPads, MacBooks, Apple Watches, and More The New York TimesApple Black Friday 2025 Deals — Save on AirPods, iPads and more still available NBC NewsApple's most affordable iPad is over 20 percent off for Black Friday The VergeTop Stories: Black Friday Apple Deals, iOS 26.2 and iOS 27 Rum
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The best Black Friday sales are officially live. We found 141 deals worth shopping CNNBlack Friday 2025 deals are live from Hoka, Apple and Dyson: Our top picks at every price from this year's biggest sale Yahoo115 Black Friday 2025 Deals Worth Shopping Right Now From Amazon, Skims, Le Creuset and More TODAY.comBlack Friday 2025: 130 Last-Minute Deals to Shop Before Sales End Tonight CNET
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Piastri takes crucial Qatar pole from Norris and Verstappen Formula 1Piastri charges to dominant Sprint victory in Qatar ahead of Russell and Norris Formula 1Norris 'disappointed' to miss out on Qatar pole ESPNF1 Qatar GP live updates: Latest from qualifying as Hamilton exits early again, Piastri wins sprint The New York Times
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Trump says airspace above and around Venezuela should be considered closed ReutersTrump says airlines should consider Venezuelan airspace closed The Washington PostTrump orders the closure of Venezuelan airspace PoliticoLIVE: Donald Trump says Venezuela airspace now closed as tensions surge Al Jazeera
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Donald Trump's big move on visa, asylum follows 'Third World' comment after guard killed near White House | Hindustan Times Hindustan TimesTrump admin live updates: Trump says Venezuelan airspace should be 'closed in its entirety' ABC NewsUS State Department stops processing visas for Afghan allies ReutersCapehart and Wehner on Trump's reaction to the National Guard shooting PBS
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I'm tracking the best Black Friday TV deals LIVE — here are the can't-miss deals on 65-, 75- and 85-inch TVs you can still get Tom's GuideFour big things to know if you're going to buy a TV this weekend The Washington PostBest Black Friday TV deals 2025: Samsung, LG, TCL, and Hisense at record lows MashableYou Only Have a Few Hours Left to Nab This 75-Inch Toshiba 4K Fire TV for $350 With This Black Friday Deal CNET
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Topic: MediaPoliticsThe NYT "Needle" in 2016
The 2020 election showed that doing live reporting on election counts when the order of counting has a bias is misleading and emotionally draining. Of course, there is no actual "race" with totals moving back and forth, one candidate in the lead and then another. That's just an illusion created by the bias in the order. The result is actually a fixed fact after the polls close, and we're just uncovering different parts as time goes by.
It's a bit like scratching off a lottery card. The final result of the card is fixed, you just get some drama revealing bits of it at a time.
The press get good ratings and we can't stop them from reporting this, even when they know the reports are misleading. But instead of one number, there's really two numbers to show from partial results:
The best estimate of the final number based on your models and what data you have
The amount of uncertainty in that estimate (which you might show as a scalar, or as a distribution.)
As we know, Trump even worked to exploit that lie, known as the red mirage, to call the election into question. It's serious stuff.
This particular time, we the following large biases.
In person votes were usually counted before
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