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Yahoo BusinessSep 30, 2020
Odds Favor Biden Following First Presidential Debate: 10 Stocks And ETFs To Watch
The first 2020 presidential debate was held Tuesday night between U.S. President Donald Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden. Picking A Debate Winner: While some might say there were no winners from the debate, betting odds for Biden to win the presidency all gained last night.Betfair shows Biden having a 54.4% chance to win the election compared to 42.8% for Trump. This is the best odds for Biden since July 30, when he hit a high of 61.2%. Trump's best odds from Betfair were 53.9% back in March.PredictIt is showing a 2 cent boost to Biden's presidential odds, which are now 61 cents. Trump had no change and is trading at 43, which compiles Betfair, PredictIt and FTX, shows Biden gaining 5.1% and now having a 59.9% chance to win the election. Trump saw his odds fall 4.4% to 38.4%.What About The Stock Market? Having a consensus winner of the debate was expected to be a positive, due to the current uncertainty hurting the market. A contested election is a major concern of investors. Biden having had a lead in the polls before the debate and gaining after the debate may take away some uncertainty.The S&P 500 typically moves less than 1% the day after the first debate. In pre-market trading, the S&P 500 was up about 0.3% to 3,345.What A Biden Win Means: Trump has come down hard on relations with China. A win by Biden could boost China stocks, ETFs and technology companies with large international exposure.The iShares MSCI China ETF (NASDAQ:
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