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Yahoo BusinessSep 30, 2020
Odds Favor Biden Following First Presidential Debate: 10 Stocks And ETFs To Watch
The first 2020 presidential debate was held Tuesday night between U.S. President Donald Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden. Picking A Debate Winner: While some might say there were no winners from the debate, betting odds for Biden to win the presidency all gained last night.Betfair shows Biden having a 54.4% chance to win the election compared to 42.8% for Trump. This is the best odds for Biden since July 30, when he hit a high of 61.2%. Trump's best odds from Betfair were 53.9% back in March.PredictIt is showing a 2 cent boost to Biden's presidential odds, which are now 61 cents. Trump had no change and is trading at 43 cents.Electionbettingodds.com, which compiles Betfair, PredictIt and FTX, shows Biden gaining 5.1% and now having a 59.9% chance to win the election. Trump saw his odds fall 4.4% to 38.4%.What About The Stock Market? Having a consensus winner of the debate was expected to be a positive, due to the current uncertainty hurting the market. A contested election is a major concern of investors. Biden having had a lead in the polls before the debate and gaining after the debate may take away some uncertainty.The S&P 500 typically moves less than 1% the day after the first debate. In pre-market trading, the S&P 500 was up about 0.3% to 3,345.What A Biden Win Means: Trump has come down hard on relations with China. A win by Biden could boost China stocks, ETFs and technology companies with large international exposure.The iShares MSCI China ETF (NASDAQ:
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