Setup News Ticker
Mar 23, 2018

If China Sells Treasuries, Perhaps the Fed Will Buy
A trade war could therefore lead to a fourth round of quantitative easing. Analysis
Mar 23, 2018

Economic Roundup: U.S. Politics and Financial Markets Clash
Protectionist policies are not sitting well with investors. Analysis
Mar 23, 2018

U.S. Weekly Highlights and Preview, March 23, 2018
Dust settles following the Fed, but Trump tariffs are fanning concerns in financial markets. Analysis
Mar 23, 2018

Canada Weekly: Eager to Spend
Wholesale and retail sales continue to boom as a red-hot economy spurs consumer and business spending. Analysis
Mar 23, 2018

Welcome Increase in U.S. Core Capital Goods Orders in February
Equipment spending is coming in a little better this quarter. Analysis
Mar 23, 2018

U.S. Fiscal Policy Can Cause Whiplash
Trade policies aimed at China could end up looking different than announced. Analysis
Mar 22, 2018

March's Preliminary PMI Hints of Third Straight Month of Subpar Sales
Markets start to ask whether companies can pass on higher costs to the middle class. Analysis
Mar 22, 2018

Economic Roundup: U.S. Trade Policies Don't Sit Well With Financial Markets
Markets are reassessing the potential for a trade war. Analysis
Mar 22, 2018

One Fed Meeting, Two Interpretations
Markets saw the FOMC meeting as dovish, but we lean hawkish. Analysis
Mar 22, 2018

Cross-Sector: Market Data Highlights Analysis
Mar 21, 2018

Core PCE Price Index Inflation Has Averaged 1.8% Since 1992
The FOMC expects the annual rate will average about 2% during 2019-2020. Analysis
Mar 21, 2018

Economic Roundup: Mission Accomplished for the Fed
The central bank raises rates, signals more tightening, and gets little market reaction. Analysis
Mar 21, 2018

Down the Rabbit Hole
An all-out trade war could cost millions of jobs. Analysis
Mar 21, 2018

U.S. Employment Outlook: The Labor Market's Tug-of-War
Some forces will push the labor market to perform well, and other forces will constrain it. Analysis
Mar 21, 2018

U.S. Regional Outlook: Constraints Emerging
The benefits of growth in this late stage of the business cycle are accruing to most areas. Analysis
Mar 20, 2018

Wide Libor Spread Limits Upside for Fed Funds
A jump by the three-month Libor may cool business activity and effectively substitute for Fed rate hikes. Analysis
Mar 20, 2018

Economic Roundup: Bank of England Can Be Patient
U.K. inflation cooled more than expected in February. Analysis
Mar 20, 2018

U.S. Macro Outlook: Supply-Side Washout
In the near term, higher tariffs and less trade will result in less growth and higher inflation, raising the risk the economy will overheat. Analysis
Mar 19, 2018

Foreigners Own a Record 40% of U.S. Corporate Bonds Outstanding
Stepped-up foreign ownership helps to explain why corporate bond yield spreads narrowed from 2016 to 2017. Analysis
Mar 19, 2018

Economic Roundup: Let's Not Stress About Libor-OIS Spread Yet
Banking system is fine but that doesn't mean financial markets don't pose a risk to the economy. Analysis
Mar 19, 2018

U.S. Banking System Not Stressed Despite Libor-OIS Spread
Financial system poses risks to the economy, but creditworthiness of U.S. banks isn't one of them. Analysis
Mar 19, 2018

U.S. Chartbook: Supply Constraints Test Housing and the Labor Market
It's a slam dunk that the Federal Reserve will raise rates this month. Analysis
Mar 19, 2018

Aging and the Productivity Puzzle
Some of the slowing in productivity growth in recent years may be due to aging, an effect likely to persist.

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