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As Venezuela buckles under Trump, Iran sees an uncomfortable parallel CNNIran's Calculations Are Scrambled by U.S. Raid in Caracas The Wall Street JournalTrump's abduction of Maduro escalates concerns over potential war with Iran Al Jazeera
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Béla Fleck Withdraws From Kennedy Center Concerts The New York TimesAll the Kennedy Center cancellations since Trump's name was added The Washington PostMore Artists Cancel Concerts at Newly Named Trump Kennedy Center The Violin Channel'Wicked' composer Stephen Schwartz backs out of Kennedy Center event NBC News
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President Trump says his voters loved the Venezuela attack — here's what they think AP NewsLive Updates: Venezuela Projects Unity After Trump's Maduro Ouster The New York TimesMaduro raid killed about 75 in Venezuela, U.S. officials assess The Washington PostTrump's new imperialism recalls a dark period of US-led regime change CNNThe Fallout from the Capture of Nicolás Maduro The New Yorker
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Office of Public Affairs | Justice Department Sues Arizona and Connecticut for Failure to Produce Voter Rolls Department of Justice (.gov)The Trump administration is building a ‘national voter roll', former DOJ lawyers warn Democracy DocketU.S. Justice Department sues Connecticut for failure to provide voter registration lists WTNH.com
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2,000 federal agents sent to Minneapolis area to carry out 'largest immigration operation ever,' ICE says PBSHomeland Security plans 2,000 officers in Minnesota for its 'largest immigration operation ever' 5 EYEWITNESS NEWS2,000 federal agents are being deployed to Minneapolis in an escalated immigration push. Here's what we know CNNAmid Twin Cities raids, Noem says she's "focused on policing the streets, not policing President Trump's words"
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Elon Musk's xAI raises $20bn in funding round that doubles valuation Financial TimesxAI Raises $20B Series E xAIElon Musk's xAI raises $20 billion from investors including Nvidia, Cisco, Fidelity CNBCMusk's xAI Closed $20 Billion Funding With Nvidia Backing Yahoo FinanceElon Musk's xAI announces it has raised $20bn amid backlash over Grok deepfakes The Guardian
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Trump Policies Power U.S. Auto Sales to Best Year Since 2019 — Proving "Experts" Wrong (Again) The White House (.gov)New Car Sales Are Rising Thanks to Purchases by the Well-Off The New York TimesU.S. new-car market downshifts heading into 2026 as pricing, end of EV incentives deter some shoppers Automotive NewsAnalysts warn automakers of possible slowdown in 2026 The Detroit NewsUS car market shows signs of fatigue as costs weigh on buyers
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We've Found the Coolest, Most Futuristic Tech at CES 2026. And the Show Just Started CNETCES 2026 day 2: the 11 best gadgets we've seen today, from smart flashlights to new Dell XPS laptops TechRadarCES 2026: Live updates on Lego, Samsung, NVIDIA, Dell and more EngadgetThe coolest technology from Day 1 of CES 2026 AP NewsCES 2026: Everything revealed, from Nvidia's debut
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Breaking: Google will now only release Android source code twice a year Android AuthorityGoogle Makes Major Android AOSP Change Droid LifeGoogle Cuts Android AOSP Releases to Biannual Starting 2026 WebProNewsAndroid source code releases are only coming twice a year now Android Headlines
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Ray Jayawardhana Appointed Caltech's Tenth President CaltechCaltech names new president, an astrophysicist who vows to empower ‘brilliant minds' Los Angeles TimesCaltech, a Science Powerhouse, Hires Ray Jayawardhana as Its New President The New York TimesProvost Ray Jayawardhana named president of the California Institute of Technology Johns Hopkins UniversityBreaking: Caltech
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Prepare to file in 2026: Get Ready for tax season with key updates, essential tips IRS (.gov)Who could see bigger tax refunds in 2026 from Trump's cuts CNBCWhen is the last day you can file taxes in 2026? Here are the deadlines. USA TodayWhen can you start filing taxes in 2026? What to know NBC 5 Chicago
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Lakers 111-103 Pelicans (Jan 6, 2026) Game Recap ESPNLive Updates: LeBron and Luka lead a six-game night in the NBA NBAHow many points did LeBron James score? Lakers vs. Pelicans stats USA TodayPhotos: Pelicans lose eighth straight game as LeBron James, Doncic lead the Lakers NOLA.comLeBron James leads fourth quarter comeback in Laker
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Trump adds Venezuela to list of countries whose citizens must post bonds for U.S. visas AxiosTrump admin expands visa bond requirement to 38 countries, with fees up to $15K Fox NewsUS adds more nations, including Venezuela, to costly visa bond policy ReutersUS expands list of countries whose citizens must pay up to $15,000 bonds to apply for visas AP News
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Kemp sets date for special election to fill Greene's seat PoliticoMarjorie Taylor Greene's Big Breakup The New YorkerGeorgia Schedules Special Election for Marjorie Taylor Greene's Seat The New York TimesJan. 6, Trans Hate, and Gazpacho: MTG's Congressional Career in 10 Lowlights Rolling StoneMarjorie Taylor Greene's requi
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Michael Reagan, son of former President Ronald Reagan, has died, family says ABC NewsMichael Reagan, eldest son of President Ronald Reagan, dies at 80 NBC NewsMichael Reagan, Son of President Reagan, Dies at 80 The New York Times
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Venezuela latest updates: Trump says U.S. is not at war after Maduro pleads not guilty in U.S. federal court YahooTrump says the U.S. isn't at war with Venezuela NBC NewsTrump Was Skeptical of Ousting Maduro—Until He Wasn't The Wall Street JournalUS may subsidize oil companies to rebuild Venezuela's energy infrastructure, Trump says Reuters
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Dow heads for first close above 49,000 as investors shrug at Venezuela situation, buy chip stocks: Live updates CNBCStock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq nudge higher after Dow's rally to record Yahoo FinanceS&P 500 Inches Forward as Traders Await Key Economic Data Bloomberg.comTech, healthcare extend Wall St rally, focus on week's jobs report Reuters
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Backyard flock in Franklin County tests positive for bird flu WRALAvian influenza reported in Nebraska commercial flocks plus backyard flocks across the state Rural Radio NetworkFirst bird flu case in Franklin County founded in flock of backyard poultry, officials say CBS17.comGeese, swans continue to die at Lake Wapello
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AI Stocks Pressured In Early 2026 Test. Lumentum, Ciena Jump, Nvidia Edges Down Investor's Business Daily‘Hectocorns' Are Just One AI Flashpoint for 2026 Bloomberg.comIf I Could Buy Only 1 Stock to Bet on the AI Boom in 2026, It Would Be This One The Motley FoolAI Bubble or Not, These 3 Stocks Make Excellent Long-Term Plays to Buy in January Nasdaq
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Republican Rep. LaMalfa dies, further narrowing GOP's House majority The Washington PostDoug LaMalfa's Death Further Depletes House G.O.P. Majority The New York TimesA shocking death and a special election PoliticoCalifornia GOP Congressman Doug LaMalfa dies at 65 CNNRepublican Rep. Doug LaMalfa dies at 6
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Flu surge in Michigan: State reaches worst tier on CDC scale MLive.comFlu reaches highest levels in the US in 25 years CNNFlu reaches highest levels in 25 years, likely to get worse, health officials say WSFA30 states now in wo
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 Topic: MediaPoliticsThe NYT "Needle" in 2016
The 2020 election showed that doing live reporting on election counts when the order of counting has a bias is misleading and emotionally draining. Of course, there is no actual "race" with totals moving back and forth, one candidate in the lead and then another. That's just an illusion created by the bias in the order. The result is actually a fixed fact after the polls close, and we're just uncovering different parts as time goes by.
It's a bit like scratching off a lottery card. The final result of the card is fixed, you just get some drama revealing bits of it at a time.
The press get good ratings and we can't stop them from reporting this, even when they know the reports are misleading. But instead of one number, there's really two numbers to show from partial results:
The best estimate of the final number based on your models and what data you have
The amount of uncertainty in that estimate (which you might show as a scalar, or as a distribution.)
As we know, Trump even worked to exploit that lie, known as the red mirage, to call the election into question. It's serious stuff.
This particular time, we the following large biases.
In person votes were usually counted before
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Most companies use AI to screen out job applicants with employment gaps, marginalizing caregivers who need to step back from the workforce. Leaders should reconsider how they search for talent and create more supportive conditions for these workers, says Joseph Fuller.
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IN THE annals of modern American economic policymaking, among the most revered pieces of legislation is the Tax Reform Act of 1986. During the three decades since its passage, Democrats and Republicans alike have hailed the law not only for overhauling the country''s tax system, which Jimmy Carter famously called 'a disgrace to the human race', but also for doing so with bipartisan support in both houses of Congress. As Republicans embark on yet another sweeping rewrite of the tax code, many point to the 1986 effort as a model to emulate. It was 'really something special', Donald Trump said in August. However, admirers of America''s last comprehensive revision of its tax code should be disappointed with the GOP''s current attempts.The bill that passed in 1986 took a long, arduous path to President Ronald Reagan''s desk. Originating out of a three-volume report by the Treasury department, it faced numerous brushes with death, and took more than two years to wind its way through Congress. The process included full committee hearings, markups and deliberations. The final bill eliminated many deductions, credits and exemptions that favoured some taxpayers over others. This generated new revenues, which were then used to reduce tax rates, mainly for low and middle-income individuals. The bill did ...
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