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Trump orders the closure of Venezuelan airspace PoliticoTrump maintains pressure campaign on Venezuela, saying its airspace should be considered closed CNNTrump Declares Venezuelan Airspace Closed The New York TimesVenezuela says U.S. unilaterally suspended migrant repatriation flights after Trump called for airspace to be viewed as closed CBS News
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Trump ally Troy Nehls joins growing group of lawmakers retiring from Congress AxiosTexas lawmaker to retire PoliticoU.S. Rep. Troy Nehls won't seek reelection, becoming sixth Texas Republican to announce exit from Congress The Texas TribuneUS Representative Troy Nehls announces retirement ReutersU.S. Rep. Troy Nehls announces he's leaving Congress after current term KHOU
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Trump says airspace above and around Venezuela should be considered closed ReutersTrump says airlines should consider Venezuelan airspace closed The Washington PostTrump orders the closure of Venezuelan airspace PoliticoLIVE: Donald Trump says Venezuela airspace now closed as tensions surge Al Jazeera
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Trump Declares Venezuelan Airspace Closed The New York TimesTrump orders the closure of Venezuelan airspace PoliticoVenezuela revokes flight rights for six airlines as tensions with US escalate ReutersVenezuela demands international airlines resume flights BBCTrump tells ai
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Prices on coffee, orange juice, bananas and beef have soared this year.
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Donald Trump's big move on visa, asylum follows 'Third World' comment after guard killed near White House | Hindustan Times Hindustan TimesTrump admin live updates: Trump says Venezuelan airspace should be 'closed in its entirety' ABC NewsUS State Department stops processing visas for Afghan allies ReutersCapehart and Wehner on Trump's reaction to the National Guard shooting PBS
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Northwestern University agrees to pay $75 million as part of deal with Trump administration that restores frozen funds CNNNorthwestern Agrees to Deal With Trump Administration The New York TimesAgreement with Federal Government to Restore Northwestern Research Funding: Office of the President Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University reaches agreement with Trump administration to restore federal funding Chicago Sun-Times
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Customs brokers are using AI and "tariff engineering" to help importers save millions as trade rules change frequently.
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 Topic: MediaPoliticsThe NYT "Needle" in 2016
The 2020 election showed that doing live reporting on election counts when the order of counting has a bias is misleading and emotionally draining. Of course, there is no actual "race" with totals moving back and forth, one candidate in the lead and then another. That's just an illusion created by the bias in the order. The result is actually a fixed fact after the polls close, and we're just uncovering different parts as time goes by.
It's a bit like scratching off a lottery card. The final result of the card is fixed, you just get some drama revealing bits of it at a time.
The press get good ratings and we can't stop them from reporting this, even when they know the reports are misleading. But instead of one number, there's really two numbers to show from partial results:
The best estimate of the final number based on your models and what data you have
The amount of uncertainty in that estimate (which you might show as a scalar, or as a distribution.)
As we know, Trump even worked to exploit that lie, known as the red mirage, to call the election into question. It's serious stuff.
This particular time, we the following large biases.
In person votes were usually counted before
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