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NYTimes BusinessJan 06, 2026
Trump Claims Venezuela Will Send Oil to U.S.
It is unclear what, if anything, Venezuela would get in return for the oil, which is worth somewhere between $1.8 billion and $3 billion at current market prices.

Google Business NewsJan 06, 2026
President Trump says his voters loved the Venezuela attack — here's what they think - AP News
President Trump says his voters loved the Venezuela attack — here's what they think  AP NewsLive Updates: Venezuela Projects Unity After Trump's Maduro Ouster  The New York TimesMaduro raid killed about 75 in Venezuela, U.S. officials assess  The Washington PostTrump's new imperialism recalls a dark period of US-led regime change  CNNThe Fallout from the Capture of Nicolás Maduro  The New Yorker

RELATED ARTICLES
Venezuela could be sitting on a big Bitcoin stash, experts say. Here's what could happen next (CNBC Finance)

Google Market NewsJan 06, 2026
2,000 federal agents sent to Minneapolis area to carry out 'largest immigration operation ever,' ICE says - PBS
2,000 federal agents sent to Minneapolis area to carry out 'largest immigration operation ever,' ICE says  PBSHomeland Security plans 2,000 officers in Minnesota for its 'largest immigration operation ever'  5 EYEWITNESS NEWS2,000 federal agents are being deployed to Minneapolis in an escalated immigration push. Here's what we know  CNNAmid Twin Cities raids, Noem says she's "focused on policing the streets, not policing President Trump's words"  

Google Business NewsJan 06, 2026
Prepare to file in 2026: Get Ready for tax season with key updates, essential tips - IRS (.gov)
Prepare to file in 2026: Get Ready for tax season with key updates, essential tips  IRS (.gov)Who could see bigger tax refunds in 2026 from Trump's cuts  CNBCWhen is the last day you can file taxes in 2026? Here are the deadlines.  USA TodayWhen can you start filing taxes in 2026? What to know  NBC 5 Chicago

MarketWatchJan 06, 2026
Friday's job report should move the Treasury market more than Venezuela developments. Here's what to watch.
The Treasury market was moving in a listless fashion on Tuesday in response to the U.S. intervention in Venezuela — with traders more focused on a busy calendar week that includes Friday's jobs report for December.

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Roster Moves: Chicago Bears designate Gordon and Jones for return - Chicago Bears (Google Market News)

MarketWatch Breaking NewsJan 06, 2026
In a rarity, S&P 500 and VIX just posted gains on the same day. Here's why.


RELATED ARTICLES
It's rare for the S&P 500 and the VIX to post gains on the same day. Here's why it just happened. (MarketWatch)

Brad IdeasNov 03, 2024
We need better "Needle" visualizations for election night results
Topic: MediaPoliticsThe NYT "Needle" in 2016

The 2020 election showed that doing live reporting on election counts when the order of counting has a bias is misleading and emotionally draining. Of course, there is no actual "race" with totals moving back and forth, one candidate in the lead and then another. That's just an illusion created by the bias in the order. The result is actually a fixed fact after the polls close, and we're just uncovering different parts as time goes by.

It's a bit like scratching off a lottery card. The final result of the card is fixed, you just get some drama revealing bits of it at a time.

The press get good ratings and we can't stop them from reporting this, even when they know the reports are misleading. But instead of one number, there's really two numbers to show from partial results:

The best estimate of the final number based on your models and what data you have The amount of uncertainty in that estimate (which you might show as a scalar, or as a distribution.) As we know, Trump even worked to exploit that lie, known as the red mirage, to call the election into question. It's serious stuff.

This particular time, we the following large biases.

In person votes were usually counted before

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