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After two years of shipping delays and rising delivery costs, relief is in sight. By the end of the year, a marked improvement will be seen compared with a year ago.
The numbers of new drivers and trucks have picked up, easing constraints, though chassis shortages will likely continue into 2023. Spot market rates for trucks, excluding fuel surcharges, have dropped 30% from their peak earlier this year. They should decline a bit more, ending 2023 about 5% above their prepandemic level, according to Avery Vise, Vice President of Trucking at FTR Transportation Intelligence. Contract rates are typically slower to respond, and should ease to 17% above their prepandemic level by the end of 2023. Also, diesel prices are still 65% above prepandemic, so fuel surcharges will continue to be higher than normal. However, if a recession happens next year, then both volumes and rates will tumble.
SEE MORE 5 Stocks Making the Most of Supply-Chain Issues
Congestion at East Coast ports should ease in the next few months as a new labor contract is likely to be signed for West Coast dockworkers, allowing more vessels to return to using West Coast ports. Ship traffic from Asia is easing as 70% of retailers shipped early this year ahead of the holiday season, after getting burned last year, according to Ken Hoexter, a managing director at Bank of America. Ocean freight rates from China to the West Coast have fallen to $3,900 per 40-foot container, though that is still $2,500 more than the prepandemic average.
Rail freight is the problem child, according to Todd Tranausky, vice president of rail & intermodal at FTR. Freight has been moving at slower than normal speeds this year because of crew staffing shortages. Prior to the pandemic, the railroads embarked on a cost-cutting and labor-saving spree, reducing the wor
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Disruption. It's coming for the U.S. dollar in the form of digital currency. Last week the Biden administration detailed a broad plan for adopting a central bank digital currency (CBDC) in the coming years. The Departments of Energy, Commerce, the Treasury, and other agencies weighed in on how to manage and regulate a CBDC.
The government is reacting in part to the explosive growth of digital currencies. About three out of ten U.S. adults currently invest in some form of cryptocurrency, or "crypto," like Bitcoin or Ethereum. These digital "coins" rely on a decentralized network of computers to verify financial transactions, cutting out third parties like banks or credit cards.
The good, the bad, and the ugly of crypto
Advocates of crypto point to its affordability, efficiency, and its ability to reach consumers with little or no access to traditional banking services. With just a mobile phone or a crypto ATM, consumers can easily send and receive digital currency, even across international borders.
On the other hand, crypto is still largely unregulated and volatile. Investors in Bitcoin, for example, saw returns of over 70% in 2021, but the currency is down almost 60% year to date. And if you send your payment to the wrong account (called a "digital wallet") there may be no way to retrieve it. Crypto has also been used for money laundering, fraud, and to fund terrorism. Several
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