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MarketWatch MarketPulseOct 26, 2021
For a fresh Dow Theory buy signal, the Dow transports missed it by that much
The Dow Jones Transportation Average was chugging along in record territory Tuesday, putting them on track to trigger a fresh Dow Theory buy signal for the first time in more than five months, for all but the last two minutes of the trading day. A basic tenet of the Dow Theory is that no important bull or bear market signal could be triggered unless both the Dow transports and the Dow Jones Industrial Average flashed the same signal. The Dow transports rose as much as 239 points, or 1.5%, to an all-time intraday high of 16,112.87, well above the May 7 record close of 15,943.30, but a late-day pullback took it down to a 62-point, or 0.4% gain, to close at 15,936.69, or 0.04% below the record. Meanwhile, the Dow industrials closed up 16 points, or less than 0.1%, but reached a third straight record close. If the Dow transports managed to hold its gains to reach a record of its own, it would've been the first time since May 7 that the sister indexes closed at a record on the same day. And as Piper Sandler technical market strategist Craig Johnson said, a Dow transports breakout to a record close "would trigger a Dow Theory buy signal."

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