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KiplingerJul 01, 2020
Is This a New Bull Market? Or the Same Old Bear?
Stocks have rallied so sharply in the past few months that it prompts a question: Are we in a new bull market? With the S&P 500 index up 36% since its March 23 low through mid June, the answer seems an obvious yes. And yet, plenty of veteran Wall Streeters say the bull isn't official yet, and we've seen some cracks in the rally.

10 Things You Must Know About Bull Markets Conventional wisdom says stocks are in a bull market once they're up at least 20% from the market's low. (A bear market is typically thought of as a 20% drop from the high.) But given that bear markets are often punctuated by powerful rallies that ultimately fade, it's important to add a time element to a bull-market assessment. Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at investment research firm CFRA, defines a bull market as a gain of at least 20% plus a span of six months without the market undercutting its prior low.

Official or not, however, Stovall is a bull. CFRA's 12-month target for the S&P 500 is 3435, 13% higher than its June 12 close. "I think the March 23 low will eventually be regarded as the start of the new bull market," says Stovall. "The reason for my optimism is the massive amount of stimulus" injected into the market and the economy by the Federal Reserve and Congress. CFRA is most bullish on the communication services, health care and information technology sectors.

Doug Ramsey, chief investment officer and portfolio manager at the Leuthold Group, remains dubious. "The current rally is either the first up-leg of a new


KiplingerJul 01, 2020
Should You Play this Video Games ETF?
Video games aren't just games. They are also TV content, judging by the millions of people who watched some 1.75 billion hours of streamed video-gaming programming on Twitch, the live-stream platform for gamers, just in May alone. They're live events, too, with thousands of people showing up to watch top-level gamers face off in e-sports arenas. That makes video games big, big business. Consultant Research and Markets forecasts that the global video-game market will increase revenues at a 6.4% annualized rate between 2019 and 2024, when it will hit $179.1 billion in sales.

Work From Home ETF (WFH) Launches: What You Need to Know Global X Video Games & Esports ETF is one of a handful of funds that allow investors to cash in on that growth. HERO sports a tight portfolio of 40 firms involved in developing, publishing, distributing or streaming video games, producing related hardware, or operating e-sports leagues or teams. The fund weights holdings by market value, so the larger the stock, the more HERO invests in it. Gaming is global, and so is HERO; it has 71% of assets invested outside of the U.S.

The ETF will only invest in companies that derive at least 50% of their revenues from video game-related businesses. That means you won't see tech conglomerates such as Sony and Microsoft in the fund. You will see graphics chipmaker Nvidia, whose products power high-end gaming rigs; Chinese internet and video gaming company NetEase; and familiar Japanese powerhouse Nintendo. "If it's a leading company in the theme, we want to own that company," says Pedro Palandrani, research analyst at Global X ETFs.


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