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Live Updates: Trump renews threat to Iran's power plants as war sends oil prices soaring again CBS NewsIran War Live Updates: Trump Renews Threats Against Iranian Oil and Energy Facilities The New York TimesTrump threatens to ‘obliterate' Iran's energy grid if ceasefire not reached ‘shortly' The Guardian
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Live updates: Kuwaiti tanker laden with oil attacked as Trump again threatens to blow up Iran's energy facilities CNNDrone attack sparks fire on Kuwaiti tanker in UAE amid Iran's Gulf attacks Al JazeeraMiddle East war live: Kuwaiti oil tanker struck off Dubai Financial TimesGiant oil tanker off Dubai hit by Iranian strike after Trump's latest threats Reuters
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Seizing Kharg Island would risk US troops' lives and may not end Iran war, experts say AP News4 ways Iran could strike back if Trump invades Kharg Island The HillSeizing Kharg Island would risk US troops and may not end Iran war, experts say timesofisrael.com
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Asian Stocks Wipe Out 2026 Gains as War Drives Inflation Worries Bloomberg.comSouth Korea's Kospi leads losses in Asia as Iran war worries keep investors on edge CNBCBrent crude set for record monthly gain; Asia shares falter as Iran war rages ReutersIran War Live Updates: Oil Falls, Stocks Gain on Report Trump Mulling War Exit Bloomberg.com
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Here's When The ‘Arc Raiders' Flashpoint Update Goes Live With New Guns, New Arc Enemies And More ForbesFLASHPOINT UPDATE - FIND THE TRUTH ARC RaidersArc Raiders is adding a welcome quality-of-life feature and a terrifying new flying foe Polygon.comPatch Notes 1.21.0 ARC RaidersArc Raiders Dev Reveals First Look at New Vaporizer Enemy, Crafting Changes, and More Coming With Flashpoint IGN
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TSA agents see partial paychecks Federal News NetworkTrump Live Updates: TSA Pay to Resume, but ICE Could Remain at Airports, Homan Says The New York TimesMajor US airports return to normal as TSA workers get paid ReutersMarch 29, 2026 — Trump administration, DHS shutdown news CNNUS airport lin
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 Topic: MediaPoliticsThe NYT "Needle" in 2016
The 2020 election showed that doing live reporting on election counts when the order of counting has a bias is misleading and emotionally draining. Of course, there is no actual "race" with totals moving back and forth, one candidate in the lead and then another. That's just an illusion created by the bias in the order. The result is actually a fixed fact after the polls close, and we're just uncovering different parts as time goes by.
It's a bit like scratching off a lottery card. The final result of the card is fixed, you just get some drama revealing bits of it at a time.
The press get good ratings and we can't stop them from reporting this, even when they know the reports are misleading. But instead of one number, there's really two numbers to show from partial results:
The best estimate of the final number based on your models and what data you have
The amount of uncertainty in that estimate (which you might show as a scalar, or as a distribution.)
As we know, Trump even worked to exploit that lie, known as the red mirage, to call the election into question. It's serious stuff.
This particular time, we the following large biases.
In person votes were usually counted before
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