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Bad Bunny vs. Kid Rock: Here's how many people watched each Super Bowl halftime show San Francisco ChronicleHalftime ratings: How many watched Turning Point, Bad Bunny shows El Paso TimesZach Bryan calls Turning Point USA's halftime show ‘embarrassing as hell' San Francisco ChronicleCandace Owens Claims Turning Point USA's All-American Halftime Show ‘Scammed Its Views' Count Yahoo
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What to Know About Measles as the Virus Spreads The New York TimesUS experiencing largest measles outbreak since 2000 - 5 essential reads on the risks, what to do and what's coming next The ConversationThe Only Thing That Will Turn Measles Back The AtlanticMeasles Is Causing Brain Swelling in Children in South Carolina WIRED
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Judge blocks enforcement of California's law banning masks for ICE agents PoliticoFederal judge blocks California's law enforcement mask ban cnn.comFederal judge blocks California from enforcing ICE mask ban The GuardianJudge blocks California law banning federal law enforcement agents from wearing masks cbsnews.comJudge Strikes Down California's Ban on Masks for Federal Agents The New York Times
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Newly Unbound, Trump Weighs More Nuclear Arms and Underground Tests The New York TimesScoop: U.S. and Russia agree to observe New START nuclear pact after expiration AxiosThe world's top nuclear powers have no arsenal limits, here are the countries with nukes foxnews.comThe Real Reason Trump Wants to Let Our Nuclear Weapons Treaty With Russia Die Slate
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Trump Administration to Cut $600 Million in Health Funding From Four States The New York TimesExclusive | White House instructs DOT, CDC to cut $1.5B in grants for Dem states, citing ‘waste and mismanagement' New York PostHHS to Cut $600 Million in Public Health Grants to Blue States bloomberg.comEV drivers face massive charger funding cuts in blue states USA Today
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‘Complete nonstarter': Administration allies say judicial warrants a red line for White House in DHS funding talks as shutdown looms PoliticoDHS funding talks continue as Trump faces backlash over racist video - live updates | CNN Politics cnn.comTalks on Immigration Enforcement Still Stuck as DHS Funding Deadline Nears The New York TimesA moment of truth for Democrats ahead of this week's DHS shutdown deadline: From the Politics Desk NBC News
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Novo Nordisk Says It's Suing Hims to Halt Obesity Drug Copycats bloomberg.comNovo Nordisk sues Hims & Hers over copycat versions of Wegovy drugs; Hims stock plunges 27% CNBCHims & Hers Withdraws Knockoff Weight-Loss Pill After Regulatory Scrutiny The New York TimesWegovy maker sues Hims & Hers after company launches $49 weight-loss pill USA Today
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Chappell Roan drops Casey Wasserman talent agency after Epstein files revelations The GuardianLA Olympics chief faces calls to resign after flirty emails with Ghislaine Maxwell are revealed in Epstein files cnn.comL.A. Olympic committee chairman Wasserman says he ‘deeply regrets' emails released in Epstein files - The Athletic The New York TimesChappell Roan departs Wasserman as Epstein files spark backlash Axios
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Thailand election: The result the polls never saw coming BBCConservatives Surge to Surprise Victory in Thai Elections The Wall Street JournalThailand's Conservative Party Claims Surprise Election Victory The New York TimesBhumjaithai Party's election victory signals shift in Thailand's politics ABC News
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Mike Macdonald isn't slowing down after Seahawks' Super Bowl win grants newfound fame The Seattle TimesMike Macdonald, champion Seahawks go from hunters to hunted: 'We're target No. 1 now' NFL.comMike Macdonald is a defensive mastermind — to win a Super Bowl, he became so much more The New York TimesHow Seahawks' Mike Macdonald's Super Bowl LX masterpiece was years in the making CBS Sports
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Twenty years is 'a death sentence', son of British media tycoon jailed by China says BBCOpinion | Jimmy Lai Gets a Death Sentence The Wall Street JournalHong Kong's Jimmy Lai sentenced to 20 years in prison after landmark national security trial cnn.comApple Daily Sentences Show a New Era of Media Peril in Hong Kong The New York TimesOpinion | A de facto death sentence for publishing a newspaper The Washington Post
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Bad Bunny's expansive performance, underscored with messages of love and acceptance, translated into a perception lift for the NFL as a whole.
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Real-time food delivery data shows which Super Bowl commercials actually translated into sales.
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Topic: MediaPoliticsThe NYT "Needle" in 2016
The 2020 election showed that doing live reporting on election counts when the order of counting has a bias is misleading and emotionally draining. Of course, there is no actual "race" with totals moving back and forth, one candidate in the lead and then another. That's just an illusion created by the bias in the order. The result is actually a fixed fact after the polls close, and we're just uncovering different parts as time goes by.
It's a bit like scratching off a lottery card. The final result of the card is fixed, you just get some drama revealing bits of it at a time.
The press get good ratings and we can't stop them from reporting this, even when they know the reports are misleading. But instead of one number, there's really two numbers to show from partial results:
The best estimate of the final number based on your models and what data you have
The amount of uncertainty in that estimate (which you might show as a scalar, or as a distribution.)
As we know, Trump even worked to exploit that lie, known as the red mirage, to call the election into question. It's serious stuff.
This particular time, we the following large biases.
In person votes were usually counted before
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